Archives
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More Important Than Skill Is Always Being There
Skills can optimize your participation, but only if you're in the game. A reflection on the importance of staying in the market.
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Is Value Investing Right for Individual Investors?
Value investing isn't wrong — but for individuals, the real challenge isn't picking the right stock. It's surviving the long wait.
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Can Trading Efficiency Be Chased?
True trading efficiency doesn't come from frequent operations, but naturally emerges from a mature system. A reflection on the essence of trading efficiency.
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Risk Management Strategies Across Different Stages of a Stock Trend
The same stock requires completely different trading approaches at different stages of its trend. True trading ability is the ability to match your strategy to the stage.
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Bought Right, Why Can't You Hold?
The essence of an entry point isn't about finding the lowest price — it's about finding a position you can hold with peace of mind. A reflection on entry points and emotional drain.
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Market Structure in Stock Trading: Identifiable Order or Illusory Faith?
Structure is not a precise prediction tool, but a verifiable hypothesis framework. Reflections on the essence of market structure in stock trading.
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Judgment Is Not a Backdoor to Escape Discipline
In trading, judgment and discipline are not opposites. A Level-based risk control system helps you avoid doing the wrong things at different risk stages.
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Is There a Best Time to Buy Stocks
Buying the dip, riding the trend, averaging down—three buying approaches that all answer the same fundamental question.
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Discipline or Judgment: Which Matters More?
In a trading system, discipline sets the floor while judgment raises the ceiling—they're not opposing forces, but a dynamic balance.
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Reflections on the Gold and Silver Plunge
When a gold and silver crash defies geopolitical logic, the receding tide of sentiment marks the beginning of a return to rationality.
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Is the 20-Day Moving Average a Stock's Exit Lifeline?
The 20-day moving average isn't a universal exit rule: trend positions and structural positions require fundamentally different defensive logic.
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Does Company Performance Always Correlate with Stock Price
Starting from earnings season, rethinking the relationship between performance and stock price — expectations, emotions, and consensus.
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A Diary About Vim
From barely knowing Vim to gradually getting used to it — a personal record of learning Vim.
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A Gold Frenzy
Understanding market dynamics through gold's rally: sentiment, narrative, and the nature of collective behavior.
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Why We Always Chase Highs and Panic Sell in Stock Investing
Chasing highs and panic selling isn't a skill problem — it's emotions taking over decisions. A reflection on emotional reflexes in investing.
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Rights Freedom and Time Freedom
Some thoughts on rights freedom and time freedom in a constrained world.
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When to Enter and Exit the Market?
A dialogue on market entry and exit timing. Exploring how to identify entry opportunities driven by sentiment, and a decision framework for exits based on relative conditions.
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What Is Entrepreneurship: Motivation, Efficiency, and the Essence of Freedom
A Q&A dialogue on the essence of entrepreneurship. Starting from the definition, exploring three types of entrepreneurial motivations, and the ultimate pursuit of time freedom and rights freedom.
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About Me
About myself—an IT professional living in Japan, trying to build a protective layer for life through thinking, amid the pressures of time, skill depreciation, and rising costs.
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Can Active Investing Outperform the Index in the Long Run?
A dialogue about active investing versus index investing. Exploring the source of alpha, different time horizons for investing, and the real challenge of active investing.
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Structural Differences Under Different Market Curves in Trend Investing
A dialogue about trend investing. Exploring the risk structure differences and theme rotation relationships under rising, sideways, and falling market curves.
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How to Read This Site
How articles are structured, how content is organized, and how to find related series.
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Why This Exists
Why this blog exists, and what it tries to do.
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Drawdown and Risk: Three Tests for Index Investing
A dialogue on index investing. Starting from "What risks does index investing have," gradually exploring risk classification, distinction methods, and response strategies.
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Is Index Investing the Optimal Solution for Ordinary People?
A dialogue series on index investing. Exploring whether ordinary people have a way to win long-term in the stock market, and the role of index investing.
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Does Index Investing Require an "Investment Strategy"?
A dialogue on index investing. Exploring whether index investing requires strategy, and the difference between execution rules and judgment strategies.
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Why Choose Index Investing
A dialogue on index investing. Exploring why many people are unsuited for active stock picking, what index really is, and why even fund managers struggle to beat the index long-term.
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Stop Loss: How a System Avoids One-Time Failure
A dialogue about stop loss. Exploring the role of stop loss in an investment system, why we must assume we'll make wrong judgments, and what stop loss truly protects.
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Investment System: Not a Prediction Tool, but a Survival Framework
A dialogue about investment systems. Exploring what an investment system is, what its core objective is, and how to achieve long-term survival amid uncertainty.
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Take Profit: Is Profit Management Really Necessary
A dialogue about take profit. Exploring the difference between take profit and stop loss, the consequences of not taking profit, and the true position of take profit in a system.
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Win Rate: Why It's Not the Core Metric of a System
A dialogue about win rate. Exploring whether a high win rate means a good system, what's more important than win rate, and the true position of win rate in a system.
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A Conversation About Vim/Neovim: Why It's Hard to Learn Yet Worth Learning
A Q&A dialogue about Vim. Exploring why Vim is hard to learn yet still worth learning, the meaning of modal editing, and how a tool transforms from an operational object into an extension of thought.
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Why Investing Seems Simple, Yet Very Few Win Long-Term
A dialogue about investing, systems, and human nature. Exploring why investment operations are simple yet long-term winning is difficult, the nature of the "no-reward period," the harm of tail risk, and what kind of person is a true long-term winner.
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The True Revolutionary Meaning of the AI Era: From Efficiency Tool to Cognitive Infrastructure
From the convenience AI brings to civilization-level structural changes—a pure Q&A dialogue record. Exploring the publicization of higher-order cognitive capabilities, the reshaping of social strata, and the collaborative structure between humans and AI.
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Structural Differences in Investment Logic: A-Shares vs. Japan/US Stocks
A Q&A record about capital, market structures, and investment strategies. Exploring the essential differences between Japan/US stocks and A-shares in market logic, valuation models, and shareholder returns.
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From Skill Freedom to Structure Freedom: A Dialogue on Life Structures
Updated:A dialogue about wages, investment, entrepreneurship, and life structures. Exploring the essential differences between linear and compound growth, skill freedom and structure freedom.